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Red152
205653.8
755833.4
98745.1
Blue165
448143.3
907234.6
632854.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146143130135140150155160165152165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
Unranked
53.80.3
53.654.0
Auto16.7
Teleop33.3
End3.8
blue by 0.5
6328
Unranked
54.30.7
53.454.1
Auto16.8
Teleop31.1
End6.4
Second
987
Unranked
45.10.3
45.045.3
Auto12.2
Teleop27.1
End5.8
red by 1.8
4481
Unranked
43.30.7
42.443.1
Auto14.6
Teleop27.5
End1.2
Third
7558
Unranked
33.40.3
33.033.4
Auto11.6
Teleop19.3
End2.4
blue by 1.2
9072
Unranked
34.60.7
33.734.4
Auto11.3
Teleop23.4
End-0.2