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Red126
32117.5
452242.2
169053.7
Blue95
581341.8
147738.2
306141.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271358010012016018020012695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1690
Unranked
53.70.2
54.554.7
Auto17.0
Teleop31.4
End5.4
red by 11.9
5813
Unranked
41.80.6
42.041.4
Auto15.3
Teleop21.9
End4.6
Second
4522
Unranked
42.20.2
43.043.2
Auto13.2
Teleop24.7
End4.4
red by 1.1
3061
Unranked
41.10.6
41.340.7
Auto10.9
Teleop27.6
End2.6
Third
321
Unranked
17.50.2
18.318.6
Auto8.0
Teleop9.1
End0.4
blue by 20.6
1477
Unranked
38.20.6
38.337.7
Auto14.8
Teleop19.7
End3.8