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Red180
461347.3
420640.1
167858.3
Blue131
98745.1
205653.8
157739.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156156130140150160170180190180131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
Unranked
58.30.6
57.458.0
Auto18.4
Teleop32.6
End7.2
red by 4.5
2056
Unranked
53.80.2
54.053.8
Auto16.7
Teleop33.3
End3.8
Second
4613
Unranked
47.30.6
46.547.1
Auto12.9
Teleop32.4
End2.0
red by 2.2
987
Unranked
45.10.2
45.345.1
Auto12.2
Teleop27.1
End5.8
Third
4206
Unranked
40.10.6
39.339.9
Auto9.0
Teleop29.5
End1.6
red by 1.0
1577
Unranked
39.10.2
39.339.1
Auto11.8
Teleop24.6
End2.6