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Red75
74796.9
372931.6
141028.7
Blue88
186818.3
438827.1
833412.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions673602060801001207588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3729
#12
31.60.9
25.926.8
Auto13.3
Teleop16.7
End1.6
red by 4.5
27.12.8
14.817.5
Auto8.9
Teleop17.1
End1.2
Second
28.70.9
23.824.7
Auto12.4
Teleop13.6
End2.6
red by 10.4
18.32.8
11.914.7
Auto5.5
Teleop12.2
End0.5
Third
7479
#45
6.91.5
7.59.0
Auto3.4
Teleop3.0
End0.5
blue by 5.4
8334
#39
12.34.6
9.914.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned