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Red29
299625.4
77377.7
133921.2
Blue48
401011.9
406825.8
161917.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52622030407080902948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#23
25.41.4
21.319.9
Auto9.3
Teleop14.5
End1.6
blue by 0.4
4068
#16
25.80.4
26.426.0
Auto7.8
Teleop14.9
End3.0
Second
1339
#33
21.21.3
21.920.6
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End1.0
red by 3.4
1619
#11
17.80.4
15.815.3
Auto4.8
Teleop12.3
End0.7
Third
7737
#35
7.72.1
5.02.9
Auto2.9
Teleop5.0
End-0.2
blue by 4.2
4010
#25
11.90.4
12.311.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed