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Red39
13038.0
549312.2
66212.9
Blue10
77377.7
22597.6
10116.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332801020405060703910

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
662
#46
12.90.6
12.513.1
Auto5.1
Teleop6.2
End1.6
red by 5.2
7737
#35
7.72.0
7.65.6
Auto2.9
Teleop5.0
End-0.2
Second
5493
#26
12.20.8
9.210.0
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End0.2
red by 4.7
2259
#40
7.62.0
9.17.2
Auto1.9
Teleop4.5
End1.1
Third
1303
#31
8.00.8
7.88.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End0.3
red by 1.3
1011
#41
6.72.0
8.96.9
Auto3.7
Teleop2.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed