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Red39
224026.9
401011.9
22616.8
Blue45
441818.8
203616.2
380712.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534302060801003945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2240
#10
26.90.5
25.324.7
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End2.2
red by 8.1
18.80.2
13.713.9
Auto6.5
Teleop11.8
End0.5
Second
4010
#25
11.90.5
12.812.3
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End1.1
blue by 4.2
2036
#43
16.20.2
17.217.5
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End1.2
Third
2261
#49
6.80.9
8.98.0
Auto2.9
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 5.7
3807
#47
12.50.3
9.49.7
Auto5.7
Teleop5.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed