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Red31
911213.2
33749.8
748511.5
Blue79
429320.5
197715.7
294524.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2544010203040506070803179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9112
#37
13.20.7
8.79.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End0.7
blue by 11.5
2945
#27
24.73.2
17.720.9
Auto9.0
Teleop14.4
End1.2
Second
7485
#32
11.50.7
9.09.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End0.5
blue by 8.9
20.53.2
9.913.2
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End0.6
Third
3374
#44
9.80.4
6.87.3
Auto4.9
Teleop3.5
End1.5
blue by 5.8
1977
#21
15.74.4
9.814.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed