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Red46
161917.8
1598.4
113816.3
Blue55
186818.3
569024.6
455022.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3959020801004655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#11
17.80.2
13.613.9
Auto4.8
Teleop12.3
End0.7
blue by 6.7
5690
#22
24.60.1
23.823.7
Auto8.3
Teleop14.2
End2.0
Second
1138
#34
16.30.3
16.616.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End0.7
blue by 6.0
4550
#14
22.30.1
15.515.4
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End0.9
Third
159
#42
8.40.2
7.67.9
Auto4.2
Teleop3.5
End0.7
blue by 9.9
18.30.1
12.011.9
Auto5.5
Teleop12.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed