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Red70
372931.6
182220.6
17997.0
Blue75
429320.5
748511.5
299625.4
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51480204060801007075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3729
#12
31.61.6
26.828.4
Auto13.3
Teleop16.7
End1.6
red by 6.2
2996
#23
25.42.1
19.922.0
Auto9.3
Teleop14.5
End1.6
Second
1822
#20
20.62.7
10.313.0
Auto5.9
Teleop12.7
End2.0
red by 0.2
20.52.1
13.415.4
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End0.6
Third
1799
#48
7.02.7
9.011.6
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.7
blue by 4.5
7485
#32
11.53.4
10.814.3
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed