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Red56
13038.0
455022.3
911213.2
Blue47
833412.3
66212.9
406825.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28660204060801001205647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4550
#14
22.31.7
14.616.3
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End0.9
blue by 3.5
4068
#16
25.81.5
26.024.5
Auto7.8
Teleop14.9
End3.0
Second
9112
#37
13.22.9
6.99.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End0.7
red by 0.3
662
#46
12.91.5
13.411.9
Auto5.1
Teleop6.2
End1.6
Third
1303
#31
8.02.9
8.711.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End0.3
blue by 4.2
8334
#39
12.32.6
15.613.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsEarned