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Red41
459318.0
441818.8
22616.8
Blue34
958610.6
294524.7
955212.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424320305060704134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.80.1
15.415.5
Auto6.5
Teleop11.8
End0.5
blue by 5.8
2945
#27
24.70.3
21.521.2
Auto9.0
Teleop14.4
End1.2
Second
4593
#38
18.00.1
17.317.4
Auto8.2
Teleop7.5
End2.4
red by 5.5
9552
#28
12.50.4
9.89.4
Auto4.3
Teleop8.7
End-0.5
Third
2261
#49
6.80.2
6.66.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 3.8
9586
#36
10.60.4
6.56.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed