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Red37
320017.9
113816.3
748511.5
Blue78
364826.0
401011.9
299625.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49582040801003778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3200
#17
17.90.7
14.113.4
Auto8.1
Teleop8.9
End0.8
blue by 8.1
26.01.4
17.919.3
Auto8.1
Teleop15.8
End2.0
Second
1138
#34
16.30.7
16.916.2
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End0.7
blue by 9.1
2996
#23
25.41.4
22.023.4
Auto9.3
Teleop14.5
End1.6
Third
7485
#32
11.51.1
14.313.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End0.5
blue by 0.4
4010
#25
11.91.4
11.813.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed