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Red75
400923.3
182220.6
133921.2
Blue24
74796.9
17997.0
906814.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68330204060801001201407524

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4009
#13
23.31.3
24.025.3
Auto10.5
Teleop10.1
End2.8
red by 8.5
9068
#18
14.82.2
13.911.7
Auto5.7
Teleop8.6
End0.5
Second
1339
#33
21.21.2
20.621.7
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End1.0
red by 14.2
1799
#48
7.02.2
11.69.4
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.7
Third
1822
#20
20.61.9
13.014.9
Auto5.9
Teleop12.7
End2.0
red by 13.8
7479
#45
6.92.2
8.66.3
Auto3.4
Teleop3.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsEarned