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Red39
380712.5
911213.2
182220.6
Blue97
438827.1
449932.0
203616.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3573020601001201403997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1822
#20
20.60.3
14.915.2
Auto5.9
Teleop12.7
End2.0
blue by 11.4
32.00.3
26.727.1
Auto9.1
Teleop17.1
End5.9
Second
9112
#37
13.20.3
9.710.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End0.7
blue by 14.0
27.10.3
19.119.5
Auto8.9
Teleop17.1
End1.2
Third
3807
#47
12.50.3
11.511.8
Auto5.7
Teleop5.4
End1.4
blue by 3.6
2036
#43
16.20.3
16.016.3
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed47%Ensemble oddsEarned