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Red54
955212.5
299625.4
110824.9
Blue84
549312.2
569024.6
372931.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47700204060801001205484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#23
25.40.6
23.424.0
Auto9.3
Teleop14.5
End1.6
blue by 6.2
3729
#12
31.60.2
28.829.0
Auto13.3
Teleop16.7
End1.6
Second
1108
#19
24.90.9
12.713.7
Auto8.9
Teleop13.9
End2.1
red by 0.3
5690
#22
24.60.2
23.123.3
Auto8.3
Teleop14.2
End2.0
Third
9552
#28
12.50.9
9.410.3
Auto4.3
Teleop8.7
End-0.5
red by 0.3
5493
#26
12.20.3
9.19.4
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed