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Red50
833412.3
113816.3
5688.6
Blue51
958610.6
182220.6
320017.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433902060801001205051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1138
#34
16.30.2
16.516.3
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End0.7
blue by 4.3
1822
#20
20.61.7
15.216.9
Auto5.9
Teleop12.7
End2.0
Second
8334
#39
12.30.4
13.813.4
Auto3.6
Teleop6.7
End2.0
blue by 5.6
3200
#17
17.91.0
14.715.8
Auto8.1
Teleop8.9
End0.8
Third
568
#30
8.60.4
8.17.7
Auto0.4
Teleop7.0
End1.2
blue by 2.0
9586
#36
10.61.7
5.77.4
Auto3.3
Teleop6.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed