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Red53
1598.4
372931.6
10116.7
Blue73
438827.1
911213.2
441818.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45502030406070805373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3729
#12
31.60.8
29.029.8
Auto13.3
Teleop16.7
End1.6
red by 4.5
27.11.6
19.521.0
Auto8.9
Teleop17.1
End1.2
Second
159
#42
8.40.8
6.27.0
Auto4.2
Teleop3.5
End0.7
blue by 10.5
18.81.6
15.116.7
Auto6.5
Teleop11.8
End0.5
Third
1011
#41
6.71.3
5.97.2
Auto3.7
Teleop2.4
End0.7
blue by 6.5
9112
#37
13.22.6
10.112.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed