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Red42
429320.5
22597.6
549312.2
Blue79
141028.7
224026.9
406825.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30890204060801001204279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.5
16.216.7
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End0.6
blue by 8.2
28.70.4
26.827.2
Auto12.4
Teleop13.6
End2.6
Second
5493
#26
12.20.8
9.410.3
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End0.2
blue by 14.7
2240
#10
26.90.4
24.324.7
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End2.2
Third
2259
#40
7.60.8
8.89.6
Auto1.9
Teleop4.5
End1.1
blue by 18.2
4068
#16
25.80.4
22.222.5
Auto7.8
Teleop14.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsMissed89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed45%Ensemble oddsEarned