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Red51
294524.7
380712.5
77377.7
Blue71
569024.6
400923.3
494416.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377102060801001205171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2945
#27
24.70.1
22.522.6
Auto9.0
Teleop14.4
End1.2
red by 0.1
5690
#22
24.60.4
23.323.7
Auto8.3
Teleop14.2
End2.0
Second
3807
#47
12.50.2
11.811.9
Auto5.7
Teleop5.4
End1.4
blue by 10.8
4009
#13
23.30.4
23.523.8
Auto10.5
Teleop10.1
End2.8
Third
7737
#35
7.70.2
3.33.4
Auto2.9
Teleop5.0
End-0.2
blue by 8.6
4944
#15
16.30.4
13.614.0
Auto6.3
Teleop8.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed