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Red49
494416.3
5688.6
294524.7
Blue65
455022.3
906814.8
372931.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions427302060801001204965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2945
#27
24.70.5
21.522.0
Auto9.0
Teleop14.4
End1.2
blue by 7.0
3729
#12
31.60.2
30.931.1
Auto13.3
Teleop16.7
End1.6
Second
4944
#15
16.30.5
14.715.1
Auto6.3
Teleop8.6
End1.3
blue by 6.0
4550
#14
22.30.2
18.018.1
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End0.9
Third
568
#30
8.60.7
5.86.5
Auto0.4
Teleop7.0
End1.2
blue by 6.2
9068
#18
14.80.2
13.814.0
Auto5.7
Teleop8.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed