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Red38
10116.7
203616.2
208318.3
Blue47
400923.3
549312.2
161917.8
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4163020801001203847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2083
#24
18.30.2
17.717.5
Auto6.2
Teleop10.5
End1.7
blue by 5.0
4009
#13
23.30.8
24.223.5
Auto10.5
Teleop10.1
End2.8
Second
2036
#43
16.20.1
15.215.1
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End1.2
blue by 1.7
1619
#11
17.80.8
15.414.6
Auto4.8
Teleop12.3
End0.7
Third
1011
#41
6.70.1
6.66.4
Auto3.7
Teleop2.4
End0.7
blue by 5.6
5493
#26
12.21.2
14.713.5
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed