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Red82
364826.0
300631.5
197715.7
Blue47
133921.2
380712.5
955212.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions744702040601001201408247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.9
27.228.1
Auto10.2
Teleop19.0
End2.3
red by 10.3
1339
#33
21.20.2
18.818.6
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End1.0
Second
26.00.9
23.424.3
Auto8.1
Teleop15.8
End2.0
red by 13.5
3807
#47
12.50.4
13.112.7
Auto5.7
Teleop5.4
End1.4
Third
1977
#21
15.71.4
12.914.3
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End2.3
red by 3.1
9552
#28
12.50.4
13.713.4
Auto4.3
Teleop8.7
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed