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Red60
441818.8
748511.5
182220.6
Blue37
77377.7
66212.9
186818.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55290204060801006037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1822
#20
20.60.9
17.618.5
Auto5.9
Teleop12.7
End2.0
red by 2.4
18.30.5
13.714.2
Auto5.5
Teleop12.2
End0.5
Second
18.80.5
17.117.7
Auto6.5
Teleop11.8
End0.5
red by 5.9
662
#46
12.90.5
11.812.3
Auto5.1
Teleop6.2
End1.6
Third
7485
#32
11.50.9
12.112.9
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End0.5
red by 3.8
7737
#35
7.70.8
3.94.7
Auto2.9
Teleop5.0
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed