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Red40
569024.6
13038.0
133921.2
Blue75
441818.8
141028.7
429320.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions577340801004075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
#22
24.60.9
24.323.4
Auto8.3
Teleop14.2
End2.0
blue by 4.1
28.70.1
27.127.1
Auto12.4
Teleop13.6
End2.6
Second
1339
#33
21.20.9
18.617.6
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End1.0
red by 0.8
20.50.1
19.119.2
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End0.6
Third
1303
#31
8.01.3
10.99.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End0.3
blue by 10.8
18.80.1
17.717.8
Auto6.5
Teleop11.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned