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Red35
5688.6
17997.0
33749.8
Blue48
113816.3
110824.9
911213.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1758040801003548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3374
#44
9.81.0
7.88.8
Auto4.9
Teleop3.5
End1.5
blue by 15.0
1108
#19
24.90.1
19.119.2
Auto8.9
Teleop13.9
End2.1
Second
568
#30
8.61.4
6.58.0
Auto0.4
Teleop7.0
End1.2
blue by 7.7
1138
#34
16.30.0
15.315.4
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End0.7
Third
1799
#48
7.01.4
5.77.1
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.7
blue by 6.1
9112
#37
13.20.1
12.913.0
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed