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Red47
320017.9
380712.5
66212.9
Blue68
724310.9
372931.6
161917.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4568204060801001204768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3200
#17
17.90.4
18.317.9
Auto8.1
Teleop8.9
End0.8
blue by 13.8
3729
#12
31.60.6
31.231.9
Auto13.3
Teleop16.7
End1.6
Second
662
#46
12.90.4
12.311.9
Auto5.1
Teleop6.2
End1.6
blue by 4.9
1619
#11
17.80.6
16.817.4
Auto4.8
Teleop12.3
End0.7
Third
3807
#47
12.50.6
12.712.1
Auto5.7
Teleop5.4
End1.4
red by 1.6
7243
#29
10.90.9
10.611.5
Auto5.0
Teleop5.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed