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Red70
203616.2
364826.0
224026.9
Blue79
449932.0
74796.9
294524.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77672040601001201401607079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2240
#10
26.90.1
27.227.1
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End2.2
blue by 5.1
32.00.7
31.532.2
Auto9.1
Teleop17.1
End5.9
Second
3648
#5DQ
26.00.1
26.326.2
Auto8.1
Teleop15.8
End2.0
red by 1.4
2945
#27
24.70.7
24.224.9
Auto9.0
Teleop14.4
End1.2
Third
2036
#43
16.20.1
14.714.6
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End1.2
red by 9.3
7479
#45
6.91.0
5.86.9
Auto3.4
Teleop3.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed44%Ensemble oddsMissed