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Red45
17997.0
955212.5
523227.0
Blue34
22597.6
380712.5
1598.4
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55260204060801004534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.00.1
26.526.4
Auto7.4
Teleop16.5
End3.1
red by 14.5
3807
#47
12.50.4
12.112.5
Auto5.7
Teleop5.4
End1.4
Second
9552
#28
12.50.1
12.612.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.7
End-0.5
red by 4.1
159
#42
8.40.3
8.18.4
Auto4.2
Teleop3.5
End0.7
Third
1799
#48
7.00.1
7.17.0
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.7
blue by 0.5
2259
#40
7.60.5
7.17.6
Auto1.9
Teleop4.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed