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Red103
294524.7
449932.0
372931.6
Blue79
161917.8
299625.4
406825.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1037140608012014016010379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.1
32.232.3
Auto9.1
Teleop17.1
End5.9
red by 6.2
4068
#16
25.80.2
25.325.5
Auto7.8
Teleop14.9
End3.0
Second
3729
#12
31.60.1
31.931.9
Auto13.3
Teleop16.7
End1.6
red by 6.2
2996
#23
25.40.2
25.025.2
Auto9.3
Teleop14.5
End1.6
Third
2945
#27
24.70.1
24.925.0
Auto9.0
Teleop14.4
End1.2
red by 6.8
1619
#11
17.80.2
17.417.6
Auto4.8
Teleop12.3
End0.7