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Red99
161917.8
299625.4
406825.8
Blue78
364826.0
182220.6
224026.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions758240601001201409978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4068
#16
25.80.2
25.525.8
Auto7.8
Teleop14.9
End3.0
blue by 1.2
2240
#10
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End2.2
Second
2996
#23
25.40.2
25.225.4
Auto9.3
Teleop14.5
End1.6
blue by 0.6
26.00.0
26.026.0
Auto8.1
Teleop15.8
End2.0
Third
1619
#11
17.80.2
17.617.9
Auto4.8
Teleop12.3
End0.7
blue by 2.8
1822
#20
20.60.0
20.620.6
Auto5.9
Teleop12.7
End2.0