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Red99
300631.5
133921.2
110824.9
Blue76
455022.3
208318.3
141028.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7476606570808590959976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.7
28.329.0
Auto10.2
Teleop19.0
End2.3
red by 2.9
28.70.2
28.528.7
Auto12.4
Teleop13.6
End2.6
Second
1108
#19
24.90.9
20.921.8
Auto8.9
Teleop13.9
End2.1
red by 2.6
4550
#14
22.30.2
22.122.3
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End0.9
Third
1339
#33
21.20.7
18.018.7
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End1.0
red by 2.9
2083
#24
18.30.2
18.118.3
Auto6.2
Teleop10.5
End1.7