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Red32
297219.3
141018.5
955212.2
Blue34
99916.4
999813.5
999311.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695204060801001203234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2972
#18
19.32.6
16.513.9
Auto7.9
Teleop9.9
End1.5
red by 5.8
9998
#12
13.51.9
4.56.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Second
1410
#28
18.52.6
25.022.4
Auto9.2
Teleop7.5
End1.8
red by 7.1
9993
#24
11.41.9
7.99.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End0.8
Third
9552
#26
12.22.6
14.011.4
Auto6.5
Teleop5.5
End0.2
red by 5.9
9991
#27
6.41.9
4.36.3
Auto3.3
Teleop2.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed1%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned4%Ensemble oddsMissed