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Red44
299625.8
99863.3
372927.8
Blue27
593313.3
133921.5
99903.3
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions713402060801001201404427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.81.0
29.228.2
Auto12.5
Teleop13.6
End1.7
red by 6.3
1339
#10
21.50.8
18.117.3
Auto7.7
Teleop12.8
End1.0
Second
2996
#11
25.81.0
24.923.9
Auto7.5
Teleop16.5
End1.8
red by 12.5
5933
#42
13.30.8
15.414.6
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End1.7
Third
9986
#40
3.31.6
4.52.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.8
Level
9990
#31
3.31.3
5.23.9
Auto1.2
Teleop2.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsMissed2%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed