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Red24
99959.3
906810.6
99929.9
Blue18
494415.8
99874.2
320016.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12490204060801001202418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9068
#34
10.60.7
12.812.1
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End0.5
blue by 6.1
3200
#16
16.71.4
17.416.0
Auto7.7
Teleop8.3
End0.6
Second
9992
#17
9.91.0
5.94.9
Auto4.9
Teleop4.9
End0.3
blue by 5.9
4944
#30
15.81.4
16.314.9
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End1.1
Third
9995
#22
9.31.0
4.43.4
Auto2.8
Teleop5.5
End1.2
red by 5.1
9987
#44
4.22.3
5.22.9
Auto2.3
Teleop1.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
2%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed