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Red41
99916.4
38076.5
449932.4
Blue57
197713.5
364815.6
438828.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4267020801001201401604157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.40.2
27.727.5
Auto13.9
Teleop15.0
End3.5
red by 4.3
28.10.6
24.724.1
Auto12.1
Teleop14.4
End1.6
Second
3807
#43
6.50.2
10.09.8
Auto4.1
Teleop1.2
End1.1
blue by 9.1
3648
#35
15.60.6
19.418.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End1.3
Third
9991
#27
6.40.3
6.35.9
Auto3.3
Teleop2.7
End0.5
blue by 7.1
1977
#20
13.50.6
14.513.9
Auto6.8
Teleop4.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed