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Red55
99964.5
161923.4
324526.6
Blue51
208322.0
999311.4
906810.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614201001505551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3245
#14
26.60.3
28.829.1
Auto9.9
Teleop16.4
End0.3
red by 4.6
2083
#25
22.00.1
22.722.6
Auto10.4
Teleop9.8
End1.9
Second
23.40.3
20.620.9
Auto9.1
Teleop14.0
End0.2
red by 12.0
9993
#24
11.40.2
9.89.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End0.8
Third
9996
#36
4.50.5
0.71.3
Auto1.0
Teleop2.9
End0.8
blue by 6.1
9068
#34
10.60.1
12.112.0
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed