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Red49
999921.4
99863.3
429322.6
Blue23
17996.6
294514.6
441815.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375002060801001201401604923

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.61.1
17.618.7
Auto7.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
red by 6.8
4418
#21
15.81.4
18.216.9
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End0.4
Second
9999
#13
21.41.8
12.514.2
Auto5.6
Teleop13.7
End2.2
red by 6.8
2945
#45
14.61.4
19.317.9
Auto6.8
Teleop7.3
End0.4
Third
9986
#40
3.31.8
2.94.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.8
blue by 3.4
1799
#15
6.61.4
5.84.5
Auto2.5
Teleop3.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed