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Red22
99959.3
99899.3
66211.5
Blue63
955212.2
182220.5
372927.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13720204060801001201402263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
662
#37
11.50.1
11.811.7
Auto6.4
Teleop3.5
End1.5
blue by 16.3
27.80.3
27.027.3
Auto12.5
Teleop13.6
End1.7
Second
9995
#22
9.30.2
4.94.7
Auto2.8
Teleop5.5
End1.2
blue by 11.2
20.50.3
20.821.0
Auto6.6
Teleop11.3
End2.5
Third
9989
#32
9.30.2
7.16.9
Auto4.7
Teleop4.1
End0.6
blue by 3.0
9552
#26
12.20.3
11.211.4
Auto6.5
Teleop5.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
1%Melody oddsMissed75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed