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Red32
99916.4
197713.5
54939.1
Blue30
320016.7
224019.0
748510.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285602040801001201403230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1977
#20
13.50.1
13.914.0
Auto6.8
Teleop4.8
End1.9
blue by 5.5
2240
#29
19.01.1
20.719.6
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End1.0
Second
5493
#19
9.10.1
10.810.9
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End-0.0
blue by 7.6
3200
#16
16.71.1
16.915.8
Auto7.7
Teleop8.3
End0.6
Third
9991
#27
6.40.2
5.96.1
Auto3.3
Teleop2.7
End0.5
blue by 3.6
7485
#41
10.01.1
9.48.2
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed