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Red101
297219.3
203618.8
161923.4
Blue26
141018.5
38076.5
99964.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5436020608010012010126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.42.0
20.922.9
Auto9.1
Teleop14.0
End0.2
red by 4.8
1410
#28
18.51.2
21.220.0
Auto9.2
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Second
2972
#18
19.32.0
13.915.9
Auto7.9
Teleop9.9
End1.5
red by 12.9
3807
#43
6.51.2
9.88.6
Auto4.1
Teleop1.2
End1.1
Third
2036
#23
18.82.0
11.613.6
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End0.7
red by 14.3
9996
#36
4.52.0
1.3-0.8
Auto1.0
Teleop2.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned