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Red31
99863.3
324526.6
99874.2
Blue50
294514.6
99884.8
449932.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4166020801001201401603150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3245
#14
26.60.6
29.128.5
Auto9.9
Teleop16.4
End0.3
blue by 5.8
32.40.7
27.526.8
Auto13.9
Teleop15.0
End3.5
Second
9987
#44
4.21.0
4.43.4
Auto2.3
Teleop1.5
End0.5
blue by 10.4
2945
#45
14.60.7
17.917.2
Auto6.8
Teleop7.3
End0.4
Third
9986
#40
3.31.0
4.73.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.8
blue by 1.5
9988
#33
4.81.2
5.54.3
Auto2.3
Teleop2.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed