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Red74
955212.2
999921.4
999311.4
Blue39
99874.2
299625.8
38076.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305302040801001201401607439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9999
#13
21.42.8
7.09.8
Auto5.6
Teleop13.7
End2.2
blue by 4.4
2996
#11
25.80.5
25.424.9
Auto7.5
Teleop16.5
End1.8
Second
9552
#26
12.22.1
12.514.6
Auto6.5
Teleop5.5
End0.2
red by 5.8
3807
#43
6.50.6
12.511.9
Auto4.1
Teleop1.2
End1.1
Third
9993
#24
11.42.8
7.09.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End0.8
red by 7.2
9987
#44
4.20.9
7.06.1
Auto2.3
Teleop1.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed