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Red33
372927.8
999813.5
364815.6
Blue53
429322.6
438828.1
224019.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72840501502002503003503353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.82.1
31.629.5
Auto12.5
Teleop13.6
End1.7
blue by 0.2
28.11.6
27.125.6
Auto12.1
Teleop14.4
End1.6
Second
3648
#35
15.62.1
26.023.9
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End1.3
blue by 7.1
22.61.6
20.518.9
Auto7.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
Third
9998
#12
13.53.5
7.03.4
Auto3.5
Teleop9.1
End1.0
blue by 5.5
2240
#29
19.01.6
26.925.3
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsMissed94%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed