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Red39
133921.5
203618.8
197713.5
Blue46
208322.0
406824.2
99903.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565801001502002503003503946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1339
#10
21.50.8
19.018.2
Auto7.7
Teleop12.8
End1.0
blue by 2.6
24.20.7
25.825.1
Auto8.7
Teleop13.2
End2.2
Second
2036
#23
18.80.8
16.215.4
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End0.7
blue by 3.2
2083
#25
22.00.7
23.923.1
Auto10.4
Teleop9.8
End1.9
Third
1977
#20
13.51.0
15.714.7
Auto6.8
Teleop4.8
End1.9
red by 10.2
9990
#31
3.31.2
7.05.8
Auto1.2
Teleop2.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed