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Red22
17996.6
748510.0
958618.9
Blue61
324526.6
320016.7
141018.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26910501001502261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.90.7
12.411.7
Auto5.2
Teleop13.8
End-0.2
blue by 7.8
3245
#14
26.61.3
29.528.3
Auto9.9
Teleop16.4
End0.3
Second
7485
#41
10.00.9
11.510.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End1.4
blue by 8.5
1410
#28
18.51.3
27.426.1
Auto9.2
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Third
1799
#15
6.60.9
7.06.1
Auto2.5
Teleop3.4
End0.7
blue by 10.1
3200
#16
16.71.3
17.916.6
Auto7.7
Teleop8.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed