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Red43
999813.5
748510.0
593313.3
Blue20
99899.3
99964.5
999311.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371202060801001204320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9998
#12
13.51.3
10.211.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.1
End1.0
red by 2.1
9993
#24
11.40.5
9.810.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End0.8
Second
5933
#42
13.30.8
13.013.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End1.7
red by 4.1
9989
#32
9.30.5
6.97.4
Auto4.7
Teleop4.1
End0.6
Third
7485
#41
10.00.8
8.29.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End1.4
red by 5.5
9996
#36
4.50.5
-0.8-0.3
Auto1.0
Teleop2.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed1%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed