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Red18
294514.6
99863.3
906810.6
Blue40
224019.0
99916.4
406824.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375402060801001840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2945
#45
14.61.7
17.215.5
Auto6.8
Teleop7.3
End0.4
blue by 9.6
24.21.2
22.821.5
Auto8.7
Teleop13.2
End2.2
Second
9068
#34
10.61.7
12.210.5
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End0.5
blue by 8.4
2240
#29
19.01.2
19.618.3
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End1.0
Third
9986
#40
3.32.8
3.60.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.8
blue by 3.1
9991
#27
6.42.0
6.14.0
Auto3.3
Teleop2.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed