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Red81
320016.7
438828.1
593313.3
Blue37
203618.8
955212.2
294514.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6244020801008137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.10.8
25.526.2
Auto12.1
Teleop14.4
End1.6
red by 9.3
2036
#23
18.80.4
14.814.4
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End0.7
Second
3200
#16
16.70.8
15.416.2
Auto7.7
Teleop8.3
End0.6
red by 2.1
2945
#45
14.60.4
15.515.2
Auto6.8
Teleop7.3
End0.4
Third
5933
#42
13.30.8
13.814.5
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End1.7
red by 1.1
9552
#26
12.20.4
12.311.9
Auto6.5
Teleop5.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed