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Red39
83349.4
99916.4
161923.4
Blue85
441815.8
372927.8
958618.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347202060801001201403985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.2
23.823.6
Auto9.1
Teleop14.0
End0.2
blue by 4.5
27.80.0
26.926.8
Auto12.5
Teleop13.6
End1.7
Second
8334
#38
9.40.2
8.58.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End1.2
blue by 9.4
18.90.0
15.715.6
Auto5.2
Teleop13.8
End-0.2
Third
9991
#27
6.40.3
4.03.8
Auto3.3
Teleop2.7
End0.5
blue by 9.4
4418
#21
15.80.0
18.118.1
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned